Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 1:35 PM to 2:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -38.5434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.08-9.27816.52Sep 8, 1:35 PM ET2:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.08-9.27816.52Sep 8, 1:35 PM ET2:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:35 PM ET-38.5434
Projected value at 2:04 PM ET2.25229
Actual value at 2:04 PM ET18.5338
Projected change across the window+40.7957
Actual change across the window+57.0772
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (1:42 PM ET), where they sat 2.03231 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:35 PM ET) with a gap of 39.8708. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:36 PM ET), a move of +13.3066. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:36 PM2.81914-25.2368-28.0559
61:41 PM3.93577-1.14412-5.07988
121:47 PM4.3064715.1926+10.8862
181:53 PM4.2699316.9993+12.7293
241:59 PM3.2551517.3875+14.1323
292:04 PM2.2522918.5338+16.2815

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.