Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 1:33 PM to 2:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 1:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -25.2368. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.56-2.62417.31Sep 8, 1:33 PM ET2:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.56-2.62417.31Sep 8, 1:33 PM ET2:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:33 PM ET-25.2368
Projected value at 2:02 PM ET1.23343
Actual value at 2:02 PM ET19.2522
Projected change across the window+26.4702
Actual change across the window+44.489
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (1:39 PM ET), where they sat 0.0207312 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:33 PM ET) with a gap of 24.0434. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:34 PM ET), a move of +9.30147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:34 PM-0.806801-15.9353-15.1285
61:39 PM2.05972.03897-0.0207312
121:45 PM1.788315.2647+13.4764
181:51 PM3.5345718.6809+15.1463
241:57 PM2.5822118.0728+15.4906
292:02 PM1.2334319.2522+18.0188

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.