Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 12:44 PM to 1:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.9713. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.4512.132.65Sep 8, 12:44 PM ET1:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.4512.132.65Sep 8, 12:44 PM ET1:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:44 PM ET20.9713
Projected value at 1:13 PM ET1.92661
Actual value at 1:13 PM ET-6.40074
Projected change across the window-19.0447
Actual change across the window-27.3721
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (1:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.90496 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (12:51 PM ET) with a gap of 34.0156. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (12:56 PM ET), a move of -6.18971. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:45 PM-2.0186821.989+24.0076
612:50 PM1.3885233.5206+32.1321
1212:56 PM1.068917.7478+16.6789
181:02 PM3.30485.85074+2.54594
241:08 PM2.07989-3.40662-5.48651
291:13 PM1.92661-6.40074-8.32735

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.