Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 7, 2026, 11:10 PM to 11:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 7, 2026 at 11:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -6.01029. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.47-4.9446.587Sep 7, 11:10 PM ET11:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.47-4.9446.587Sep 7, 11:10 PM ET11:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:10 PM ET-6.01029
Projected value at 11:39 PM ET0.677028
Actual value at 11:39 PM ET-18.0221
Projected change across the window+6.68732
Actual change across the window-12.0118
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (11:10 PM ET), where they sat 1.42249 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (11:39 PM ET) with a gap of 18.6991. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (11:37 PM ET), a move of -3.33088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:11 PM-3.11728-7.20809-4.09081
611:16 PM6.762970.349265-6.41371
1211:22 PM8.004894.09779-3.90709
1811:28 PM6.70748-4.36324-11.0707
2411:34 PM3.11452-7.49118-10.6057
2911:39 PM0.677028-18.0221-18.6991

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.