Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 7:29 PM to 12:29 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 7:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read 46.3949. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:29 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-43.9-1.59240.71Sep 24, 7:29 PM ET12:29 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-43.9-1.59240.71Sep 24, 7:29 PM ET12:29 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:29 PM ET46.3949
Projected value at 12:29 AM ET0.761438
Actual value at 12:29 AM ET-17.3059
Projected change across the window-45.6334
Actual change across the window-63.7007
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (12:29 PM ET), where they sat 0.569185 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (7:29 PM ET) with a gap of 51.7775. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (5:29 PM ET), a move of -11.4728. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:29 PM5.207445.8721+40.6647
61:29 AM6.0723423.5493+17.4769
127:29 AM6.3457823.0691+16.7233
181:29 PM4.17771.66397-2.51373
247:29 PM2.19886-49.5787-51.7775
2912:29 AM0.761438-17.3059-18.0673

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.