Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 hour chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 4:29 PM to 9:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 24, 2026 at 4:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 hour chart read 83.3007. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2847.34122.7Sep 24, 4:29 PM ET9:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2847.34122.7Sep 24, 4:29 PM ET9:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:29 PM ET83.3007
Projected value at 9:29 PM ET-0.347164
Actual value at 9:29 PM ET18.6199
Projected change across the window-83.6479
Actual change across the window-64.6809
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.29×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.29 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (5:29 PM ET), where they sat 0.19613 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (12:29 AM ET) with a gap of 152.496. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (4:29 AM ET), a move of -35.5147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:29 PM-35.550284.6926+120.243
610:29 PM-24.5009113.938+138.439
124:29 AM-14.281754.9434+69.2251
1810:29 AM-5.06362-14.5824-9.51874
244:29 PM-1.63-3.46544-1.83544
299:29 PM-0.34716418.6199+18.967

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 hour timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.