Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 3:12 PM to 8:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read -38.8184. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-46.09-25.51-4.935Sep 24, 3:12 PM ET8:12 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-46.09-25.51-4.935Sep 24, 3:12 PM ET8:12 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:12 PM ET-38.8184
Projected value at 8:12 PM ET-2.17165
Actual value at 8:12 PM ET-4.04779
Projected change across the window+36.6467
Actual change across the window+34.7706
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (8:12 PM ET), where they sat 1.87614 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (5:12 AM ET) with a gap of 34.4209. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (10:12 AM ET), a move of +7.91985. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:12 PM-17.9335-37.786-19.8525
69:12 PM-19.4432-30.8838-11.4406
123:12 AM-16.5114-46.764-30.2526
189:12 AM-9.76566-30.089-20.3233
243:12 PM-2.53558-15.3743-12.8387
298:12 PM-2.17165-4.04779-1.87614

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.