Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 3:10 PM to 8:10 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 3:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read -39.9088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:10 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-45.79-22.94-0.09888Sep 24, 3:10 PM ET8:10 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-45.79-22.94-0.09888Sep 24, 3:10 PM ET8:10 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:10 PM ET-39.9088
Projected value at 8:10 PM ET-0.425413
Actual value at 8:10 PM ET2.96912
Projected change across the window+39.4834
Actual change across the window+42.8779
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (7:10 PM ET), where they sat 0.824229 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (3:10 AM ET) with a gap of 35.9397. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (8:10 AM ET), a move of +7.91985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:10 PM-12.158-39.3897-27.2317
69:10 PM-11.8095-28.9713-17.1618
123:10 AM-12.9155-48.8551-35.9397
189:10 AM-9.38514-17.8294-8.44427
243:10 PM-1.81646-17.9066-16.0902
298:10 PM-0.4254132.96912+3.39453

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.