Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 2:29 PM to 7:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 24, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read 27.6706. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.121.1243.34Sep 24, 2:29 PM ET7:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.121.1243.34Sep 24, 2:29 PM ET7:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:29 PM ET27.6706
Projected value at 7:29 PM ET-1.77632
Actual value at 7:29 PM ET0.310294
Projected change across the window-29.4469
Actual change across the window-27.3603
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:29 PM ET), where they sat 2.08661 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (12:29 AM ET) with a gap of 25.906. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (7:29 PM ET), a move of -8.35588. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:29 PM46.327525.4684-20.8591
68:29 PM37.904215.8699-22.0343
122:29 AM20.728-3.64191-24.3699
188:29 AM11.301613.8588+2.55723
242:29 PM4.0505322.7522+18.7017
297:29 PM-1.776320.310294+2.08661

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.