Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 hour chart, September 24, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 24, 2026, 12:26 PM to 5:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 24, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 hour chart read 15.8029. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.9740.5687.09Sep 24, 12:26 PM ET5:26 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.9740.5687.09Sep 24, 12:26 PM ET5:26 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:26 PM ET15.8029
Projected value at 5:26 PM ET-5.86588
Actual value at 5:26 PM ET-12.2199
Projected change across the window-21.6688
Actual change across the window-28.0228
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.77 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (8:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.38902 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:26 PM ET) with a gap of 77.541. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:26 PM ET), a move of +7.48015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:26 PM83.65723.2831-60.374
66:26 PM52.282339.0662-13.2161
1212:26 AM31.553922.0346-9.51936
186:26 AM7.028464.70294-2.32552
2412:26 PM-10.3885-0.408824+9.97963
295:26 PM-5.86588-12.2199-6.35397

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 hour timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.