Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 hour chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:23 AM to 4:23 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 hour chart read -25.539. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:23 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.34-6.9689.404Sep 23, 11:23 AM ET4:23 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.34-6.9689.404Sep 23, 11:23 AM ET4:23 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:23 AM ET-25.539
Projected value at 4:23 PM ET2.42448
Actual value at 4:23 PM ET-3.6125
Projected change across the window+27.9634
Actual change across the window+21.9265
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.28×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.28 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (11:23 AM ET), where they sat 2.4676 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (12:23 AM ET) with a gap of 29.3875. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:23 PM ET), a move of +6.56544. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:23 PM5.13817-18.9735-24.1117
65:23 PM10.8518-9.49338-20.3452
1211:23 PM11.3641-16.7757-28.1399
185:23 AM9.64704-10.8338-20.4809
2411:23 AM7.238934.77132-2.4676
294:23 PM2.42448-3.6125-6.03698

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 hour timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.