Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 12:50 PM to 5:50 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read -7.23015. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:50 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-108.7227.44Sep 22, 12:50 PM ET5:50 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-108.7227.44Sep 22, 12:50 PM ET5:50 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:50 PM ET-7.23015
Projected value at 5:50 PM ET1.16729
Actual value at 5:50 PM ET-12.5191
Projected change across the window+8.39744
Actual change across the window-5.28897
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.59 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (1:50 PM ET), where they sat 4.99809 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (2:50 PM ET) with a gap of 33.1988. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (5:50 PM ET), a move of -3.91618. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:50 PM23.2858-6.4375-29.7233
66:50 PM28.28023.0625-25.2177
1212:50 AM20.86935.48603-15.3832
186:50 AM13.89867.82059-6.078
2412:50 PM7.530191.62574-5.90445
295:50 PM1.16729-12.5191-13.6864

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.