Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 11:11 AM to 4:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read -24.9853. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.45-3.58515.28Sep 22, 11:11 AM ET4:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:11 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.45-3.58515.28Sep 22, 11:11 AM ET4:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:11 AM ET-24.9853
Projected value at 4:11 PM ET-1.50379
Actual value at 4:11 PM ET2.21912
Projected change across the window+23.4815
Actual change across the window+27.2044
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (8:11 PM ET), where they sat 1.72782 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:11 AM ET) with a gap of 20.6596. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (2:11 PM ET), a move of +4.7125. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:11 PM-4.15892-22.4787-18.3198
65:11 PM-2.58383-12.5978-10.014
1211:11 PM-4.038866.48015+10.519
185:11 AM-1.2159716.7537+17.9696
2411:11 AM-0.6367897.93971+8.5765
294:11 PM-1.503792.21912+3.72291

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.