Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:58 AM to 2:58 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read 32.3088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:58 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.62519.7741.16Sep 22, 9:58 AM ET2:58 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.62519.7741.16Sep 22, 9:58 AM ET2:58 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:58 AM ET32.3088
Projected value at 2:58 PM ET-0.660066
Actual value at 2:58 PM ET-4.49779
Projected change across the window-32.9689
Actual change across the window-36.8066
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (6:58 PM ET), where they sat 0.370703 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:58 AM ET) with a gap of 11.7194. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (4:58 PM ET), a move of -5.76176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:58 AM36.257532.0493-4.2082
63:58 PM19.513321.2743+1.76096
129:58 PM7.8384810.1081+2.2696
183:58 AM2.38352-2.35735-4.74088
249:58 AM-0.9500837.05294+8.00302
292:58 PM-0.660066-4.49779-3.83773

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.