Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 6:48 PM to 11:48 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read 28.4551. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:48 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.2599.47426.21Sep 21, 6:48 PM ET11:48 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:48 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.2599.47426.21Sep 21, 6:48 PM ET11:48 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:48 PM ET28.4551
Projected value at 11:48 PM ET0.122422
Actual value at 11:48 PM ET5.6875
Projected change across the window-28.3327
Actual change across the window-22.7676
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (7:48 PM ET), where they sat 0.0518758 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:48 PM ET) with a gap of 23.791. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (11:48 PM ET), a move of -6.28088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:48 PM4.5877228.3787+23.791
612:48 AM3.071925.32721+2.25529
126:48 AM2.33413-4.41471-6.74884
1812:48 PM2.08614-1.01471-3.10084
246:48 PM0.580357-2.89632-3.47668
2911:48 PM0.1224225.6875+5.56508

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.