Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 6:18 PM to 11:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read 6.59412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.0467.11819.28Sep 21, 6:18 PM ET11:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.0467.11819.28Sep 21, 6:18 PM ET11:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:18 PM ET6.59412
Projected value at 11:18 PM ET-0.151132
Actual value at 11:18 PM ET-0.261029
Projected change across the window-6.74525
Actual change across the window-6.85515
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (11:18 PM ET), where they sat 0.109897 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (11:18 PM ET) with a gap of 15.4908. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (2:18 AM ET), a move of +2.11324. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:18 PM20.65637.58897-13.0673
612:18 AM17.10591.89265-15.2133
126:18 AM9.365595.64412-3.72147
1812:18 PM4.73057-2.93603-7.6666
246:18 PM2.64027-5.29853-7.9388
2911:18 PM-0.151132-0.261029-0.109897

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.