Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-hour chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 3:06 PM to 8:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 3:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-hour chart read 32.675. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.99727.0656.11Sep 21, 3:06 PM ET8:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.99727.0656.11Sep 21, 3:06 PM ET8:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:06 PM ET32.675
Projected value at 8:06 PM ET-1.30893
Actual value at 8:06 PM ET60.0162
Projected change across the window-33.9839
Actual change across the window+27.3412
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (3:06 AM ET), where they sat 4.10209 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (8:06 PM ET) with a gap of 61.3251. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (4:06 PM ET), a move of +10.1471. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:06 PM5.2073931.6132+26.4058
69:06 PM-2.9649920.0176+22.9826
123:06 AM-5.2918-1.18971+4.10209
189:06 AM-5.8046110.6037+16.4083
243:06 PM-3.7692237.0559+40.8251
298:06 PM-1.3089360.0162+61.3251

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-hour timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.