Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 hour chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 1:50 PM to 6:50 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 21, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 hour chart read 92.6654. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:50 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.06440.6189.29Sep 21, 1:50 PM ET6:50 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.06440.6189.29Sep 21, 1:50 PM ET6:50 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:50 PM ET92.6654
Projected value at 6:50 PM ET-1.48897
Actual value at 6:50 PM ET-6.15441
Projected change across the window-94.1544
Actual change across the window-98.8199
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (7:50 AM ET), where they sat 0.801034 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (2:50 PM ET) with a gap of 72.0428. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (2:50 AM ET), a move of -10.361. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:50 PM23.784495.8272+72.0428
67:50 PM19.719769.5184+49.7987
121:50 AM12.047630.0331+17.9855
187:50 AM6.908527.70956+0.801034
241:50 PM0.44441-14.2162-14.6606
296:50 PM-1.48897-6.15441-4.66544

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 hour chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 hour timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 hours of trading, so the window above describes 30 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.