Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:32 PM to 6:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 81.3397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.61238.9776.32Sep 22, 1:32 PM ET6:03 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.61238.9776.32Sep 22, 1:32 PM ET6:03 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:32 PM ET81.3397
Projected value at 6:03 PM ET-1.62809
Actual value at 6:03 PM ET3.43235
Projected change across the window-82.9678
Actual change across the window-77.9074
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (7:14 AM ET), where they sat 0.237591 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:32 PM ET) with a gap of 74.3558. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (6:27 PM ET), a move of -15.5397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:31 PM6.2168776.7632+70.5464
67:26 PM2.2298415.1728+12.943
121:20 AM2.092870.219853-1.87302
187:14 AM1.196410.958824-0.237591
241:08 PM0.6254852.20809+1.5826
296:03 PM-1.628093.43235+5.06044

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.