Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:31 PM to 6:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 76.7632. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.34136.6872.02Sep 22, 1:31 PM ET6:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.34136.6872.02Sep 22, 1:31 PM ET6:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:31 PM ET76.7632
Projected value at 6:02 PM ET-1.62809
Actual value at 6:02 PM ET2.26544
Projected change across the window-78.3913
Actual change across the window-74.4978
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (6:14 AM ET), where they sat 0.0935105 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:31 PM ET) with a gap of 69.7794. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (5:27 PM ET), a move of -15.5397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:30 PM6.2168768.7963+62.5795
67:25 PM2.229847.71765+5.4878
121:19 AM2.09287-1.73309-3.82596
187:13 AM1.196412.53529+1.33888
241:07 PM0.6254853.83235+3.20687
296:02 PM-1.628092.26544+3.89353

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.