Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 11:13 AM to 3:44 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 11:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read -14.8037. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:44 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.78-5.93414.92Sep 22, 11:13 AM ET3:44 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.78-5.93414.92Sep 22, 11:13 AM ET3:44 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:13 AM ET-14.8037
Projected value at 3:44 PM ET-1.91893
Actual value at 3:44 PM ET10.0588
Projected change across the window+12.8847
Actual change across the window+24.8625
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.52 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (2:57 AM ET), where they sat 1.85499 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (4:08 PM ET) with a gap of 23.6426. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (8:04 PM ET), a move of +5.36176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:12 PM-3.61058-18.3647-14.7541
65:07 PM-6.45396-25.4787-19.0247
1211:01 PM-5.09261-12.5-7.40739
184:55 AM-1.900876.18015+8.08101
2410:49 AM-1.418316.5493+17.9676
293:44 PM-1.9189310.0588+11.9778

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.