Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 10:00 AM to 2:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 35.0199. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.165716.933.63Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET2:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:00 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.165716.933.63Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET2:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:00 AM ET35.0199
Projected value at 2:31 PM ET-0.745848
Actual value at 2:31 PM ET3.41176
Projected change across the window-35.7657
Actual change across the window-31.6081
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (8:37 AM ET), where they sat 0.557695 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (6:51 PM ET) with a gap of 21.5408. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (11:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:59 AM31.560933.9684+2.4075
63:54 PM17.983932.7441+14.7602
129:48 PM9.2294425.9404+16.711
183:42 AM4.2547412.2522+7.99746
249:36 AM0.538154-0.388235-0.92639
292:31 PM-0.7458483.41176+4.15761

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.