Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:58 AM to 2:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 35.7647. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.348519.6638.97Sep 22, 9:58 AM ET2:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.348519.6638.97Sep 22, 9:58 AM ET2:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:58 AM ET35.7647
Projected value at 2:29 PM ET-1.78246
Actual value at 2:29 PM ET7.18456
Projected change across the window-37.5472
Actual change across the window-28.5801
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.31×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.31 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (6:37 AM ET), where they sat 0.3023 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (6:49 PM ET) with a gap of 18.5101. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (9:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:57 AM34.046235.8794+1.83322
63:52 PM18.37130.3654+11.9945
129:46 PM7.4901616.0728+8.58263
183:40 AM2.326519.43309+7.10658
249:34 AM-0.77535-2.08162-1.30627
292:29 PM-1.782467.18456+8.96702

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.