Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:58 AM to 2:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 22, 2026 at 9:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 35.7647. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.348519.6638.97Sep 22, 9:58 AM ET2:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.348519.6638.97Sep 22, 9:58 AM ET2:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:58 AM ET35.7647
Projected value at 2:29 PM ET-1.78246
Actual value at 2:29 PM ET7.18456
Projected change across the window-37.5472
Actual change across the window-28.5801
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.31×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.31 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (6:37 AM ET), where they sat 0.3023 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (6:49 PM ET) with a gap of 18.5101. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (9:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:57 AM34.046235.8794+1.83322
63:52 PM18.37130.3654+11.9945
129:46 PM7.4901616.0728+8.58263
183:40 AM2.326519.43309+7.10658
249:34 AM-0.77535-2.08162-1.30627
292:29 PM-1.782467.18456+8.96702

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.