Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:57 AM to 2:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:57 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 35.8794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.520.6243.74Sep 22, 9:57 AM ET2:28 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.520.6243.74Sep 22, 9:57 AM ET2:28 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:57 AM ET35.8794
Projected value at 2:28 PM ET-2.57256
Actual value at 2:28 PM ET6.63382
Projected change across the window-38.452
Actual change across the window-29.2456
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.31×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.31 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (8:34 AM ET), where they sat 1.98338 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (4:50 PM ET) with a gap of 28.3109. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (8:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:56 AM36.60834.064-2.54402
63:51 PM7.1037434.0713+26.9676
129:45 PM-3.147212.9088+16.056
183:39 AM-5.604867.34118+12.946
249:33 AM-5.01215-1.05956+3.95259
292:28 PM-2.572566.63382+9.20638

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.