Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:55 AM to 2:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 34.5985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.04232.7563.46Sep 22, 9:55 AM ET2:26 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.04232.7563.46Sep 22, 9:55 AM ET2:26 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:55 AM ET34.5985
Projected value at 2:26 PM ET-1.00914
Actual value at 2:26 PM ET2.52059
Projected change across the window-35.6077
Actual change across the window-32.0779
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (9:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.457717 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:55 AM ET) with a gap of 32.981. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (6:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:54 AM63.632.7441-30.8559
63:49 PM39.203830.3559-8.84793
129:43 PM19.676212.5382-7.13796
183:37 AM9.246060.953676-8.29238
249:31 AM3.869483.41176-0.457717
292:26 PM-1.009142.52059+3.52973

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.