Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:54 AM to 2:25 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:54 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 32.7441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:25 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.20534.1366.05Sep 22, 9:54 AM ET2:25 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.20534.1366.05Sep 22, 9:54 AM ET2:25 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:54 AM ET32.7441
Projected value at 2:25 PM ET-0.50034
Actual value at 2:25 PM ET-0.997794
Projected change across the window-33.2445
Actual change across the window-33.7419
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (2:25 PM ET), where they sat 0.497454 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:54 AM ET) with a gap of 37.5896. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (5:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:53 AM67.318730.6471-36.6716
63:48 PM44.898625.9404-18.9581
129:42 PM22.042412.2522-9.79024
183:36 AM11.4096-0.388235-11.7978
249:30 AM4.79656.28162+1.48511
292:25 PM-0.50034-0.997794-0.497454

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.