Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:53 AM to 2:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:53 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 30.6471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.724832.7764.81Sep 22, 9:53 AM ET2:24 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:53 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.724832.7764.81Sep 22, 9:53 AM ET2:24 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:53 AM ET30.6471
Projected value at 2:24 PM ET-0.530645
Actual value at 2:24 PM ET-3.57868
Projected change across the window-31.1777
Actual change across the window-34.2257
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (8:30 AM ET), where they sat 0.716578 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (10:52 AM ET) with a gap of 38.6346. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (4:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:52 AM69.000130.3654-38.6346
63:47 PM46.644821.5449-25.1
129:41 PM22.314210.4882-11.8259
183:35 AM10.7395-1.72721-12.4667
249:29 AM4.204157.18456+2.98041
292:24 PM-0.530645-3.57868-3.04803

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.