Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:51 AM to 2:22 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 34.0713. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:22 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.804431.5363.87Sep 22, 9:51 AM ET2:22 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.804431.5363.87Sep 22, 9:51 AM ET2:22 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:51 AM ET34.0713
Projected value at 2:22 PM ET1.82264
Actual value at 2:22 PM ET-5.14706
Projected change across the window-32.2487
Actual change across the window-39.2184
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (6:30 AM ET), where they sat 0.2159 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (2:46 PM ET) with a gap of 40.4132. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (2:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:50 AM68.209132.7618-35.4473
63:45 PM51.871812.9088-38.963
129:39 PM24.63657.34118-17.2953
183:33 AM10.4297-1.05956-11.4892
249:27 AM4.338865.29779+0.958934
292:22 PM1.82264-5.14706-6.9697

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.