Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:50 AM to 2:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:50 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 32.7618. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.3429.6960.71Sep 22, 9:50 AM ET2:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:50 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.3429.6960.71Sep 22, 9:50 AM ET2:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:50 AM ET32.7618
Projected value at 2:21 PM ET1.18202
Actual value at 2:21 PM ET-5.50662
Projected change across the window-31.5797
Actual change across the window-38.2684
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (4:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.808866 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:46 PM ET) with a gap of 36.4332. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (1:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:49 AM61.807130.3559-31.4512
63:44 PM43.74912.5-31.249
129:38 PM18.12884.04338-14.0854
183:32 AM5.810620.806618-5.004
249:26 AM0.6666582.52059+1.85393
292:21 PM1.18202-5.50662-6.68864

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.