Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:49 AM to 2:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:49 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 30.3559. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.43630.9763.37Sep 22, 9:49 AM ET2:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:49 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.43630.9763.37Sep 22, 9:49 AM ET2:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:49 AM ET30.3559
Projected value at 2:20 PM ET0.54315
Actual value at 2:20 PM ET-5.7875
Projected change across the window-29.8127
Actual change across the window-36.1434
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (8:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.0488395 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (12:46 PM ET) with a gap of 46.0267. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (12:46 PM ET), a move of -5.47206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:48 AM66.325625.9404-40.3852
63:43 PM49.273112.5382-36.7349
129:37 PM23.77660.953676-22.8229
183:31 AM7.205993.41176-3.79423
249:25 AM1.7217-0.997794-2.71949
292:20 PM0.54315-5.7875-6.33065

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.