Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 59-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 9:55 PM to 2:26 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 9:55 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 59-minute chart read 9.02279. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:26 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.3820.3047.99Sep 21, 9:55 PM ET2:26 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.3820.3047.99Sep 21, 9:55 PM ET2:26 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:55 PM ET9.02279
Projected value at 2:26 AM ET0.0484025
Actual value at 2:26 AM ET1.28824
Projected change across the window-8.97439
Actual change across the window-7.73456
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:28 AM ET), where they sat 0.0943762 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:55 PM ET) with a gap of 11.3363. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (10:54 PM ET), a move of -4.61176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:54 PM-2.037134.41103+6.44815
63:49 AM-4.80438-1.20441+3.59996
129:43 AM-4.81744-5.21618-0.398733
183:37 PM-2.41985-8.11912-5.69927
249:31 PM-0.751757-3.6875-2.93574
292:26 AM0.04840251.28824+1.23983

About Awesome Oscillator on a 59-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 59-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.