Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 500 minute chart, October 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 21, 2026, 3:47 PM to 5:27 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On October 21, 2026 at 3:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 500 minute chart read 20.9963. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:27 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.1384.98119.1Oct 21, 3:47 PM ET5:27 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.1384.98119.1Oct 21, 3:47 PM ET5:27 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:47 PM ET20.9963
Projected value at 5:27 PM ET10.9975
Actual value at 5:27 PM ET3.03676
Projected change across the window-9.99883
Actual change across the window-17.9596
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (10:27 AM ET), where they sat 0.122498 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (7:07 AM ET) with a gap of 19.0681. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (6:07 AM ET), a move of -4.40074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:07 AM16.21120.4147+4.20366
65:47 PM13.755611.0574-2.6983
127:47 PM13.489115.939+2.44986
189:47 PM11.42630.381618-11.0447
2411:47 PM8.37697-8.00147-16.3784
295:27 PM10.99753.03676-7.96073

About Awesome Oscillator on a 500 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 500 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 250 hours of trading, so the window above describes 250 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.