Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 500 minute chart, October 19, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 19, 2026, 6:01 PM to 7:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On October 19, 2026 at 6:01 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 500 minute chart read 10.0522. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.36314.7827.21Oct 19, 6:01 PM ET7:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:01 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.36314.7827.21Oct 19, 6:01 PM ET7:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:01 PM ET10.0522
Projected value at 7:41 PM ET13.8025
Actual value at 7:41 PM ET5.79044
Projected change across the window+3.7503
Actual change across the window-4.26176
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (12:41 PM ET), where they sat 0.02164 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (6:41 PM ET) with a gap of 14.381. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (3:21 AM ET), a move of +3.41838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:21 AM20.746613.2272-7.5194
68:01 PM27.806525.8699-1.93661
1210:01 PM26.138717.4125-8.72619
1812:01 AM20.099518.1478-1.95175
242:01 AM11.67491.84485-9.8301
297:41 PM13.80255.79044-8.01207

About Awesome Oscillator on a 500 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 500 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 250 hours of trading, so the window above describes 250 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your MNQ chart. How to install →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.