Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 45-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 4:28 PM to 2:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 45-minute chart read -10.3243. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.6553.77616.21Sep 25, 4:28 PM ET2:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:28 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.6553.77616.21Sep 25, 4:28 PM ET2:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:28 PM ET-10.3243
Projected value at 2:13 PM ET0.431716
Actual value at 2:13 PM ET9.51618
Projected change across the window+10.756
Actual change across the window+19.8404
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (8:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.644249 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (11:13 AM ET) with a gap of 17.0849. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (6:43 PM ET), a move of +3.725. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:13 PM0.507125-9.35294-9.86007
68:58 PM1.415212.78088+1.36567
121:28 AM2.030087.66544+5.63536
185:58 AM1.949688.35956+6.40988
2410:28 AM0.86622217.8765+17.0102
292:13 PM0.4317169.51618+9.08446

About Awesome Oscillator on a 45-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 45-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 22.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 22.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.