Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 45-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 1:12 PM to 10:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 45-minute chart read -89.889. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-92.72-36.4719.79Sep 25, 1:12 PM ET10:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-92.72-36.4719.79Sep 25, 1:12 PM ET10:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:12 PM ET-89.889
Projected value at 10:57 AM ET-1.53107
Actual value at 10:57 AM ET27.3471
Projected change across the window+88.3579
Actual change across the window+117.236
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (7:57 AM ET), where they sat 2.85055 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (1:57 PM ET) with a gap of 103.925. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (4:57 AM ET), a move of +12.2699. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:57 PM8.32825-95.5963-103.925
65:42 PM0.539974-79.3875-79.9275
1210:12 PM-0.395405-49.9743-49.5789
182:42 AM-3.95223-76.1397-72.1875
247:12 AM-2.02483-13.8934-11.8685
2910:57 AM-1.5310727.3471+28.8781

About Awesome Oscillator on a 45-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 45-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 22.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 22.5 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.