Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 30 minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 4:26 PM to 6:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 25, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 30 minute chart read -20.6875. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.87-13.96-0.05189Sep 25, 4:26 PM ET6:56 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.87-13.96-0.05189Sep 25, 4:26 PM ET6:56 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:26 PM ET-20.6875
Projected value at 6:56 AM ET0.122168
Actual value at 6:56 AM ET-4.36912
Projected change across the window+20.8097
Actual change across the window+16.3184
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.28×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.28 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (12:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.344432 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (3:56 AM ET) with a gap of 30.4339. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (5:56 AM ET), a move of +7.28162. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:56 PM-0.848235-20.8294-19.9812
67:26 PM0.133071-8.84485-8.97792
1210:26 PM0.9886750.281618-0.707058
181:26 AM0.748747-4.40294-5.15169
244:26 AM0.674675-29.3662-30.0409
296:56 AM0.122168-4.36912-4.49129

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.