Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 4:00 PM to 6:30 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read 13.0118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:30 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.68-2.23911.21Sep 25, 4:00 PM ET6:30 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.68-2.23911.21Sep 25, 4:00 PM ET6:30 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:00 PM ET13.0118
Projected value at 6:30 AM ET-1.03485
Actual value at 6:30 AM ET4.21838
Projected change across the window-14.0466
Actual change across the window-8.79338
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.60 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (1:30 AM ET), where they sat 3.68366 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (4:30 PM ET) with a gap of 27.3273. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (5:30 PM ET), a move of -3.01176. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:30 PM-15.321412.0059+27.3273
67:00 PM-15.82981.66324+17.4931
1210:00 PM-11.98950.438235+12.4277
181:00 AM-7.291-2.22868+5.06232
244:00 AM-1.470034.16691+5.63695
296:30 AM-1.034854.21838+5.25323

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.