Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 3:27 PM to 5:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read 9.5625. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.6-4.3417.916Sep 25, 3:27 PM ET5:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.6-4.3417.916Sep 25, 3:27 PM ET5:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:27 PM ET9.5625
Projected value at 5:57 AM ET-1.21556
Actual value at 5:57 AM ET-0.220588
Projected change across the window-10.7781
Actual change across the window-9.78309
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (2:27 AM ET), where they sat 0.21268 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:27 PM ET) with a gap of 24.4943. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (6:57 PM ET), a move of -4.15882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:57 PM-16.45547.7875+24.2429
66:27 PM-16.1242-8.28088+7.8433
129:27 PM-10.4094-14.5309-4.12147
1812:27 AM-5.72005-9.09485-3.3748
243:27 AM-2.85584-0.736029+2.11981
295:57 AM-1.21556-0.220588+0.994971

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.