Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 3:26 PM to 5:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read 5.31544. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.19-5.5834.025Sep 25, 3:26 PM ET5:56 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.19-5.5834.025Sep 25, 3:26 PM ET5:56 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:26 PM ET5.31544
Projected value at 5:56 AM ET-0.383447
Actual value at 5:56 AM ET1.6375
Projected change across the window-5.69889
Actual change across the window-3.67794
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (4:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.00725699 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:26 PM ET) with a gap of 15.0023. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (5:56 PM ET), a move of -4.15882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:56 PM-10.31282.4375+12.7503
66:26 PM-10.9537-15.7257-4.77205
129:26 PM-7.27821-14.5566-7.27841
1812:26 AM-3.39352-7.71838-4.32487
243:26 AM-1.17230.119118+1.29142
295:56 AM-0.3834471.6375+2.02095

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.