Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 3:22 PM to 5:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read -15.4353. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.07-3.9396.196Sep 25, 3:22 PM ET5:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:22 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.07-3.9396.196Sep 25, 3:22 PM ET5:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:22 PM ET-15.4353
Projected value at 5:52 AM ET-0.290398
Actual value at 5:52 AM ET5.12426
Projected change across the window+15.1449
Actual change across the window+20.5596
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (8:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.322619 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:22 PM ET) with a gap of 11.2453. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (5:52 PM ET), a move of +2.13088. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:52 PM-5.12411-14.5309-9.40677
66:22 PM-6.71592-10.1794-3.46349
129:22 PM-5.10179-2.60809+2.4937
1812:22 AM-4.64923-0.220588+4.42864
243:22 AM-1.956967.32941+9.28637
295:52 AM-0.2903985.12426+5.41466

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.