Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 2:47 PM to 5:17 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read 9.13456. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:17 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.79-3.5787.629Sep 25, 2:47 PM ET5:17 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.79-3.5787.629Sep 25, 2:47 PM ET5:17 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:47 PM ET9.13456
Projected value at 5:17 AM ET-0.917645
Actual value at 5:17 AM ET-4.78971
Projected change across the window-10.0522
Actual change across the window-13.9243
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (3:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.560693 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (2:47 AM ET) with a gap of 15.0286. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (4:17 PM ET), a move of -6.76103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:17 PM-1.152852.90074+4.05358
65:47 PM-2.18845-11.7-9.51155
128:47 PM1.091210.372059-0.71915
1811:47 PM1.0626-6.07132-7.13393
242:47 AM-1.26258-16.2912-15.0286
295:17 AM-0.917645-4.78971-3.87206

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.