Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 2:37 PM to 5:07 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read -9.6. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:07 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.08-6.1042.878Sep 25, 2:37 PM ET5:07 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.08-6.1042.878Sep 25, 2:37 PM ET5:07 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:37 PM ET-9.6
Projected value at 5:07 AM ET-1.98795
Actual value at 5:07 AM ET-1.24265
Projected change across the window+7.61205
Actual change across the window+8.35735
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (1:07 AM ET), where they sat 0.539372 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (10:07 PM ET) with a gap of 12.3118. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (11:37 PM ET), a move of -5.21912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:07 PM-7.56961-10.4919-2.9223
65:37 PM-12.7876-14.9978-2.2102
128:37 PM-7.69544-1.58456+6.11088
1811:37 PM-8.32403-3.52353+4.8005
242:37 AM-4.9105-2.1375+2.773
295:07 AM-1.98795-1.24265+0.745303

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.