Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 11:52 AM to 2:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 11:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read -88.4581. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-81.06-25.9829.11Sep 25, 11:52 AM ET2:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-81.06-25.9829.11Sep 25, 11:52 AM ET2:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:52 AM ET-88.4581
Projected value at 2:22 AM ET-2.93443
Actual value at 2:22 AM ET9.67059
Projected change across the window+85.5237
Actual change across the window+98.1287
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (5:22 PM ET), where they sat 2.45233 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:52 AM ET) with a gap of 84.2734. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (5:22 PM ET), a move of +10.7316. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:22 PM-7.65694-87.5794-79.9225
62:52 PM-15.728-47.8434-32.1154
125:52 PM-11.1611-3.14118+8.01989
188:52 PM-5.920618.9022+24.8228
2411:52 PM-5.3651530.9824+36.3475
292:22 AM-2.934439.67059+12.605

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.