Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 11:50 AM to 2:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read -60.1838. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-54.46-11.8430.78Sep 25, 11:50 AM ET2:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:50 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-54.46-11.8430.78Sep 25, 11:50 AM ET2:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:50 AM ET-60.1838
Projected value at 2:20 AM ET1.53307
Actual value at 2:20 AM ET6.71544
Projected change across the window+61.7169
Actual change across the window+66.8993
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (4:20 PM ET), where they sat 2.29208 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:50 AM ET) with a gap of 46.866. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (3:20 PM ET), a move of +10.7316. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:20 PM-10.3641-50.65-40.2859
62:50 PM-0.447456-20.0824-19.6349
125:50 PM1.631448.71765+7.0862
188:50 PM2.7280536.5029+33.7749
2411:50 PM3.2671912.6088+9.34163
292:20 AM1.533076.71544+5.18237

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.