Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 11:17 AM to 1:47 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read -55.6794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:47 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-52.08-25.251.582Sep 25, 11:17 AM ET1:47 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-52.08-25.251.582Sep 25, 11:17 AM ET1:47 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:17 AM ET-55.6794
Projected value at 1:47 AM ET2.50467
Actual value at 1:47 AM ET-4.13897
Projected change across the window+58.1841
Actual change across the window+51.5404
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (1:47 AM ET), where they sat 6.64365 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:17 AM ET) with a gap of 42.8516. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (1:47 AM ET), a move of +5.68897. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:47 AM-10.2689-51.0713-40.8024
62:17 PM-3.28563-34.8765-31.5908
125:17 PM0.396124-22.1287-22.5248
188:17 PM4.78879-20.4375-25.2263
2411:17 PM3.26689-23.0537-26.3206
291:47 AM2.50467-4.13897-6.64365

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.