Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 11:14 AM to 1:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read -35.3743. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.38-10.0612.25Sep 25, 11:14 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.38-10.0612.25Sep 25, 11:14 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:14 AM ET-35.3743
Projected value at 1:44 AM ET2.05875
Actual value at 1:44 AM ET15.2456
Projected change across the window+37.433
Actual change across the window+50.6199
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (11:44 PM ET), where they sat 0.0427485 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (8:44 PM ET) with a gap of 16.976. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (11:14 PM ET), a move of +5.68897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:44 AM-20.4916-34.8765-14.3849
62:14 PM-19.1007-24.3485-5.24786
125:14 PM-14.9097-20.0338-5.12414
188:14 PM-7.33558-24.2154-16.8799
2411:14 PM-0.0846391-4.13897-4.05433
291:44 AM2.0587515.2456+13.1868

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.