Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 10:04 AM to 12:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 10:04 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 30-minute chart read -26.2382. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-42.66-22.59-2.514Sep 25, 10:04 AM ET12:34 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:04 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-42.66-22.59-2.514Sep 25, 10:04 AM ET12:34 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:04 AM ET-26.2382
Projected value at 12:34 AM ET0.181527
Actual value at 12:34 AM ET0.114706
Projected change across the window+26.4198
Actual change across the window+26.3529
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:34 AM ET), where they sat 0.0668214 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (3:04 PM ET) with a gap of 21.0997. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (3:04 PM ET), a move of +2.85735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:34 AM-42.9924-25.089+17.9035
61:04 PM-34.9269-14.9647+19.9622
124:04 PM-25.8758-7.6625+18.2133
187:04 PM-13.7434-5.20515+8.53824
2410:04 PM-3.74706-0.407353+3.33971
2912:34 AM0.1815270.114706-0.0668214

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.