Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 13, 2026, 11:31 AM to 12:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 13, 2026 at 11:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -6.73529. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-39.44-18.62.244Oct 13, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-39.44-18.62.244Oct 13, 11:31 AM ET12:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:31 AM ET-6.73529
Projected value at 12:00 PM ET5.04319
Actual value at 12:00 PM ET-12.7787
Projected change across the window+11.7785
Actual change across the window-6.04338
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (11:51 AM ET), where they sat 0.663922 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:31 AM ET) with a gap of 29.5311. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (11:39 AM ET), a move of -4.01397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:32 AM-38.7649-10.2235+28.5414
611:37 AM-40.4586-20.8846+19.5741
1211:43 AM-38.2258-29.6529+8.57282
1811:49 AM-24.7625-23.5338+1.22869
2411:55 AM-20.6125-19.3787+1.23387
2912:00 PM5.04319-12.7787-17.8219

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.