Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 12, 2026, 11:44 AM to 12:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 12, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -2.75441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.346.42629.19Oct 12, 11:44 AM ET12:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:44 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.346.42629.19Oct 12, 11:44 AM ET12:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:44 AM ET-2.75441
Projected value at 12:13 PM ET11.5506
Actual value at 12:13 PM ET-19.3934
Projected change across the window+14.305
Actual change across the window-16.639
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (12:07 PM ET), where they sat 2.11027 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (12:13 PM ET) with a gap of 30.944. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (12:11 PM ET), a move of -5.66765. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:45 AM19.752-1.45515-21.2071
611:50 AM30.60479.18529-21.4194
1211:56 AM24.65816.00515-18.653
1812:02 PM19.47877.175-12.3037
2412:08 PM6.576672.46397-4.1127
2912:13 PM11.5506-19.3934-30.944

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.