Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 10, 2026, 2:34 PM to 3:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 10, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 1.61985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.74-4.32811.08Oct 10, 2:34 PM ET3:03 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.74-4.32811.08Oct 10, 2:34 PM ET3:03 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:34 PM ET1.61985
Projected value at 3:03 PM ET-0.0979668
Actual value at 3:03 PM ET0.617647
Projected change across the window-1.71782
Actual change across the window-1.00221
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.71 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (2:43 PM ET), where they sat 0.0293586 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:34 PM ET) with a gap of 23.4283. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (2:55 PM ET), a move of +4.41324. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:35 PM-13.9625-0.498529+13.464
62:40 PM-0.521541-0.972059-0.450518
122:46 PM2.10526-5.85956-7.96482
182:52 PM-10.7527-10.8963-0.143636
242:58 PM11.47052.92794-8.54257
293:03 PM-0.09796680.617647+0.715614

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.